Thursday, 31 January 2008

21- Blues beat the Royals

A win for Chelsea ups my account by £3.10 and puts it firmly back in the black.

New balance: 104.09

Unfortunately, the best bet this weekend is Liverpool v Sunderland, however Liverpool's current form is less than spectaculor.

The other leagues also look tough to predict, but I will have a closer look today. Hopefully I won't have to wait until next week to bet again.

Wednesday, 30 January 2008

21 - Keegan under pressure already?

Last night Newcastle took another thrashing at the hands of Arsenal. It seems a shame that Kevin Keegan has now gone 3 games without a win in his new job, however two consecutive meetings with Arsenal at the Emirates is not anyone's idea of an easy start.

On the face of the two results it must be disappointing to get beaten by the same scoreline again as you'd expect some tactical knowledge gained in the first meeting to shine through.

Tonight, as expected, I will bet on a Chelsea win against Reading. I think 10% of the account is a fair wager as Reading are not a bad side. They do struggle away from home though and against an in-form Chelsea side I expect them to be beaten convincingly.

£10.09 on a blues win.

Looking ahead, I hope that Liverpool can stop fighting amongst themselves long enough to put in a good performance against West Ham tonight which will set them up for a win against lowly Sunderland at the weekend.

Friday, 25 January 2008

FA Cup Week

This weekend is the 4th round of the FA Cup.

My rules state that I don't bet on cup games, so I will be taking a couple of days off from betting, however I will be watching several matches as the BBC has dotted them throughout the weekend.

Mansfield v Middlesbrough looks an excellent tie and could be swayed by the strong winds and later Chelsea visit Wigan.

I will also be staying up on Saturday night to find out how Havant and Waterlooville got on against Liverpool. I really hope they get a goal to enjoy their day at Anfield.

My next match betting-wise could well be the Chelsea v Reading game on Wednesday. But in the mean time I will have a more thorough look at the fixtures and see if there are any other alternatives.

Sunday, 20 January 2008

20 - Back on track


A steady win for Celtic nets me £1.90.

New balance is £100.99!

Back in profit, so it has all been worthwhile!

Next weekend is the FA Cup, so there may be a shortage of matches, however a fixture that I would like to bet on is the Rangers v East Stirling cup tie.

However I usually don't bet on cup ties.

Plus, I've just checked the odds and I would need to bet my house on it to get any kind of return. Possibly one to avoid then (1/33).

Saturday, 19 January 2008

20 - Celtic

Ok, this is very very last minute, but looking over the recent fixtures the Celtic v Kilmarnock match seems a certain choice.

Celtic have won their last three and Kilmarnock's only point in their last 3 was a point against struggling Hearts.

A 10% bet will get my account back in the black. Hopefully.

Tuesday, 15 January 2008

20 - Bouncing back

This week is all about bouncing back from my defeats and getting the project back in the black.

I am inclined to go more gung-ho in my approach, however that would be against my rules and although I have had two demoralising results recently I still believe the rules will work if given enough time.

Matches this weekend that interest me are Celtic v Kilmarnock, Swansea v Port Vale and Carlisle v Crewe.

Something that I am considering is betting on two matches per week when possible, to spread the risk of my wagers.

Of course, I would need to find two matches that meet my criteria, but it is certainly an option to try to stop the disappointment of large losses.

Saturday, 12 January 2008

19 - If only I had bet on Man Utd

A second loss on the spin means my project has been sent back to square one.

Arsenal's unlikely and possibly undeserved draw means my account is back to around the £100 mark. Where I was in August.

Unfortunately I even mentioned the Man Utd v Newcastle match stating that I wouldn't bet on a side who have recently changed their manager. However Newcastle fell apart and conceded 6 goals in the 2nd half at Old Trafford.

I feel as though both Arsenal today and Dundee Utd at Christmas both played with a lot of complacency and did not give their all. I will take some time to think about the choices I made in these games and see if there is any way to avoid matches such as this in the future.

New balance £99.09

19 - Arsenal it is

As expected, I will bet on Arsenal today in their match against Birmingham City.

Arsenal have several players out including Van Persie, Eboue, Song and Toure however they have a lot of strength in depth and I'm sure they will triumph this afternoon.

I will bet 15% of the account which means a £17.48 wager.

After my loss during the Christmas period this means that anything but an Arsenal win will see me drop below my initial outlay. Not something I would want, after playing for 5 months!

I have confidence in Arsenal though and a win will add £3.85 to my account.

Wednesday, 9 January 2008

19 - The Premiership is back this weekend, for everyone apart from Big Sam

Newcastle's idea to sack Sam Allardyce may be a little soon and a tad crazy, but it will not affect this project as the Magpies haven't consistently won games since 1997, and I don't bet on inconsistent teams.

They certainly aren't a bad side though so I'll not be risking my money on a Man Utd win this Saturday because a change in management can often turnaround a club's season.

Fortunately, the premiership's other main title contenders, Arsenal, have a match-up with lowly Birmingham City.

Birmingham recently lost to League One side Huddersfield in the FA Cup and were beaten by Man Utd last weekend. Over Christmas they did defeat Middlesbrough convincingly but normal service was resumed against fellow strugglers Fulham as they only managed a draw at home.

Arsenal on the other hand are awesome at home. They have not lost at the Emirates this season and are likely to dominate the game.

I will wait until after tonight's Carling Cup semi-final before placing my bet in case several key players get injured. But I am pretty sure it will be the one I go for.

Wednesday, 2 January 2008

18 - Gretna victory ends my winning streak

I apologise for the lack of posts over the last week, a very busy Christmas has meant I have struggled to find the time to keep the blog up to date. I am now back home after the festivities and will be updating regularly again.

While away, I have been keeping an eye on the fixtures, however none have stood out as certainties and as you will have noticed, my last bet was a £13 wager on Dundee Utd to beat Gretna, who somehow managed to win 2-1. The loss put a dent in my account but I am still in the black and will endeavor to keep my choices in check over the next couple of weeks to ensure no more slip ups occur.

This evening's match between Liverpool v Wigan looked as tempting as anything I have seen for over Christmas, however I was aware of the unusual results which have been thrown up recently, including the Man Utd defeat to West Ham, and my doubts were justified when Wigan snatched a point in the dying moments of the game through Titus Bramble.

This weekend Arsenal meet Birmingham at the Emirates, however Birmingham only lost 1-0 at Man Utd which could mean their away form is improving. I will do some research before making my final decision as 2 defeats in succession would be disastrous.

New balance is £116.57