After watching the performance of Man Utd against Villa I take back everything I said about there being 'nothing clear cut'.
On this kind of form, betting on the Red Devils is an assured win, no matter who they are playing.
If they can keep playing like that, this project will find it very easy to find a match to bet on each weekend.
Thursday, 3 April 2008
Saturday, 29 March 2008
29 - Nothing Clear Cut
This week also shows little promise on the betting front. I see my main options are Man Utd v Villa, Chelsea v Middlesbrough and West Brom v Colchester.
Although Villa have been on a downer recently, losing to Sunderland last weekend. But they are still in 7th place and so realistically I cannot bet on them to lose, no matter how good Man Utd are at the moment.
Beating Middlesbrough should be a simple task for Chelsea, but then again, Arsenal probably though the same thing a couple of weeks ago. That day Boro grabbed a point and so I don't feel comfortable with this game either.
That only leaves West Brom. The Baggies drew their last game at Charlton and were beaten heavily by Leicester the week before. However, they face a Colchester side without a win in 9 games. Surely this will allow West Brom to get their promotion hopes back on track?
Unfortunately it is not certain enough for me. I am going to have to have a 2nd week without a bet.
Very frustrating.
Although Villa have been on a downer recently, losing to Sunderland last weekend. But they are still in 7th place and so realistically I cannot bet on them to lose, no matter how good Man Utd are at the moment.
Beating Middlesbrough should be a simple task for Chelsea, but then again, Arsenal probably though the same thing a couple of weeks ago. That day Boro grabbed a point and so I don't feel comfortable with this game either.
That only leaves West Brom. The Baggies drew their last game at Charlton and were beaten heavily by Leicester the week before. However, they face a Colchester side without a win in 9 games. Surely this will allow West Brom to get their promotion hopes back on track?
Unfortunately it is not certain enough for me. I am going to have to have a 2nd week without a bet.
Very frustrating.
Saturday, 22 March 2008
28 - No easy matches
Unfortunately, I am not going to be able to put a bet on this weekend as I cannot find a match which will gurantee a victory.
I think my best option would be Aston Villa versus Sunderland, but Villa have not won in their last 3 league matches and were beaten convincingly by Portsmouth last time out.
I did consider a wager on Aldershot v Altrincham, but I do not know enough about the Blue Sky Premier to risk my money.
It is a shame to not bet, but wth the end of the season approaching I do not really want to risk my winnings on something which I am not sure about. A return of 23.4% so far is encouraging and to throw it all away now would be a disaster for the project.
I think my best option would be Aston Villa versus Sunderland, but Villa have not won in their last 3 league matches and were beaten convincingly by Portsmouth last time out.
I did consider a wager on Aldershot v Altrincham, but I do not know enough about the Blue Sky Premier to risk my money.
It is a shame to not bet, but wth the end of the season approaching I do not really want to risk my winnings on something which I am not sure about. A return of 23.4% so far is encouraging and to throw it all away now would be a disaster for the project.
Thursday, 20 March 2008
27 - Red Devils beat the Trotters
Another win for Man Utd keeps them top of the pile going into a tough week for the big sides. It also means another £2.06 is added to my account.
New balance is £123.41
On Sunday the top for side play each other and so the chances of betting on a Premier league match is unlikely. I will take a look at the fixture lists and report back when I have made my decision.
New balance is £123.41
On Sunday the top for side play each other and so the chances of betting on a Premier league match is unlikely. I will take a look at the fixture lists and report back when I have made my decision.
Tuesday, 18 March 2008
26 - Man U v Bolton
Manchester United's win against Derby was not convincing but Alex Ferguson's rallying call in the newspapers stated that he did not want so many chances to be passed up again.
Although such a call to action is usually a good sign that the next side to meet them will take a beating, the Reds face Liverpool at the weekend and so may not have a full strength team to do so.
Alex Ferguson cannot afford to miss out on the 3 points here though and for this reason I will still wager 10% on the match. Plus at Old Trafford, the Red Devils can usually be relied upon to grab the 3 points.
£12.13 on a Manchester Utd win!
Although such a call to action is usually a good sign that the next side to meet them will take a beating, the Reds face Liverpool at the weekend and so may not have a full strength team to do so.
Alex Ferguson cannot afford to miss out on the 3 points here though and for this reason I will still wager 10% on the match. Plus at Old Trafford, the Red Devils can usually be relied upon to grab the 3 points.
£12.13 on a Manchester Utd win!
Thursday, 13 March 2008
26 - Chelsea thumb Derby County
My £17.85 bet on a Chelsea has added £2.33 to the account.
New balance: £121.35
Next week, the fixtures look particularly tasty. Man U v Bolton, Liverpool v Reading and Arsenal v Middlesbrough are surely all home bankers?
Arsenal can possibly be discounted simply for not beating Wigan last weekend, but the other two will be simple wins.
I think my favourite of the two is Man Utd. Simply because Liverpool are more likely to have a hanogver from the European games after their fine win in Milan against Inter.
Man U play Derby on Saturday then face Bolton on Wednesday. To be honest, a punt on both of these matches should be safe, however, my rules do state that I won't bet on away games.
Oh well. One will have to be enough.
New balance: £121.35
Next week, the fixtures look particularly tasty. Man U v Bolton, Liverpool v Reading and Arsenal v Middlesbrough are surely all home bankers?
Arsenal can possibly be discounted simply for not beating Wigan last weekend, but the other two will be simple wins.
I think my favourite of the two is Man Utd. Simply because Liverpool are more likely to have a hanogver from the European games after their fine win in Milan against Inter.
Man U play Derby on Saturday then face Bolton on Wednesday. To be honest, a punt on both of these matches should be safe, however, my rules do state that I won't bet on away games.
Oh well. One will have to be enough.
Friday, 7 March 2008
26 - The wait until Wednesday
This weekend's fixtures throw up a lot of possible choices, but none that really take my fancy.
Liverpool should thrash Newcastle, but in football a bad run often comes to an end at an unlikely source.
The Scouse/Geordie games were always very open when Kevin Keegan was at St. James Park last time around, and all the neutral fans will be hoping that this is no different.
Of course, the more open the game is, the more likely that Newcastle could nick a point and so I will not be risking my money on it.
I also expect easy wins for Blackburn and Arsenal, but not enough for me to part with my cash.
The obvious choice for this round of games is actually on Wednesday evening, with Chelsea travelling to the midlands to play Derby. I can't see his game going any other way than a home win. Chelsea returned to form last weekend at West Ham and Derby should offer little resistance.
£17.85 on a Chelsea win will give me a £2.33 return if successful.
Come on you blues!
Liverpool should thrash Newcastle, but in football a bad run often comes to an end at an unlikely source.
The Scouse/Geordie games were always very open when Kevin Keegan was at St. James Park last time around, and all the neutral fans will be hoping that this is no different.
Of course, the more open the game is, the more likely that Newcastle could nick a point and so I will not be risking my money on it.
I also expect easy wins for Blackburn and Arsenal, but not enough for me to part with my cash.
The obvious choice for this round of games is actually on Wednesday evening, with Chelsea travelling to the midlands to play Derby. I can't see his game going any other way than a home win. Chelsea returned to form last weekend at West Ham and Derby should offer little resistance.
£17.85 on a Chelsea win will give me a £2.33 return if successful.
Come on you blues!
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